The Carolina Panthers beat the Washington Redskins, with a final score of 21-13, breaking their five game losing streak. If the Redskins Rule holds true, it’s a prediction that Mitt Romney will beat the incumbent, Barack Obama to become the next POTUS. The Redskins Rule states that if the Washington Redskins win their last home game prior to election day, the incumbent party remains in office. If the Redskins lose, the challenging party wins.
This has held true for 17 of the last 18 elections. The exception has been for the 2004 election, when the Redskins lost to the Green Bay Packers. Steve Hirdt, who is credited with discovering this correlation, revised the rule to refer to the party that won the popular vote in the last election. In the 2000 election, Democrat Al Gore lost the electoral vote (and the election) to Republican George Bush, but won the popular vote.
With less than one day left until the Tuesday of the First Monday, i.e. election day, Obama is ahead in the polls– though Romney did close the gap quite a bit. The Redskins Rule will either need to be revised again or proven highly prophetic– predicting an upset with an upset. The Panthers had a win-loss record of 1-6 against the Redskins’ 3-5 prior to Sunday’s game.
…Or the correlation is shown to be coincidental. As a former college professor of mine use to say: “One is a prime number, 2 is a prime number, 3 is a prime number, 4 is an anomaly, and 5 is a prime number. Therefore we can conclude that all numbers are prime.” He likes to make his points through Reductio ad absurdum. As a man who knows that not all numbers are prime, I am inclined to think the latter.
Posted by Tate Srey.